Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bf9…1f3b
crypto · 1027 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$179 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$179 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses510 / 517
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1027 / 1027
History coverage34d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1027 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$9
14 days−$36
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $26 −$3 -14%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +134%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $25 −$8 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $16 −$3 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $26 −$12 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$121
sports 14% −$66
other 7% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 19¢ $1 47m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 19¢ $1 47m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 47m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 47m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 25¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 25¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 29¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 29¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 26¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 26¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 20¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 20¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 23¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 23¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 24¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 24¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 30¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 31¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 33¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 33¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 35¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 35¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 +10.5% +0.0% 55% 48% -7.9%
≤30d 556 -6.8% -15.7% 46% 39% -18.3%
≤90d 1027 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 45% -13.0%
all 1027 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 45% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 45% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 39% -21.3%
15% -27.4% 31% -28.9%
20% -34.5% 22% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records