Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:06:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c00…f281
crypto · 220 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,688 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,102 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$329
Realized−$2,102
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses168 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)229 / 220
History coverage1d
Avg bet$194
Trades / day3304.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,102
7 days−$2,102
14 days−$2,102
30 days−$2,102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Up 83¢ 52¢ $296 $183 −$113 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 90¢ 86¢ $59 $56 −$2 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Down 84¢ 48¢ $90 $52 −$38 (-42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 97¢ 98¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 85¢ 70¢ $13 $11 −$2 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 85¢ 68¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 88¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $523 $0 −$523 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $362 +$28 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $110 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $175 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $167 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$12 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $85 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $769 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $161 +$8 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $487 +$75 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $71 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $713 +$108 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $359 +$25 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $211 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $217 +$22 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,921
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -1.1% -10.5% 73% 38% -14.0%
≤30d 229 -1.1% -10.5% 73% 38% -14.0%
≤90d 229 -1.1% -10.5% 73% 38% -14.0%
all 229 -1.1% -10.5% 73% 38% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3304.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 38% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 20% -22.2%
15% -26.9% 5% -29.7%
20% -34.1% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $328.71 · official $301.27 · 3500 history records