Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:17:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c20…42f7
crypto · 654 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses306 / 348
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)654 / 654
History coverage114d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 654 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$55
14 days+$48
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 5PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 +$7 +176%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 +$8 +388%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +219%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +45%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -32%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $7 −$3 -39%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -89%
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$26
sports 12% −$9
other 6% +$18
tech 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 20¢ $2 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 37¢ $1 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $2 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 29¢ $1 4h
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 49¢ $1 5h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 43¢ $1 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $3 5h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 43¢ $1 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $1 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $3 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 76¢ $1 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $4 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 40¢ $2 10h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 11h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $1 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $1 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 +2.5% -7.2% 55% 54% -1.5%
≤30d 273 -3.8% -13.0% 53% 51% -5.6%
≤90d 440 -14.2% -22.4% 46% 45% -15.4%
all 654 -13.2% -21.5% 47% 46% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 46% -10.1%
10% -29.0% 43% -18.7%
15% -35.9% 39% -26.5%
20% -42.2% 32% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2314 history records