Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:29:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c21…1eb9
sports · 310 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$222 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$153 · open +$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,027
Realized+$153
Unrealized+$69
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses234 / 19
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions58
Markets (closed)253 / 310
History coverage4d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day98.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 58 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$134
7 days+$153
14 days+$153
30 days+$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 90¢ 100¢ $99 $110 +$11 (+11%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 90¢ 100¢ $99 $110 +$11 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 91¢ 100¢ $100 $110 +$10 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 91¢ 100¢ $100 $110 +$10 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? No 91¢ 99¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 91¢ 98¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? No 91¢ 98¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 91¢ 98¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 91¢ 98¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 91¢ 98¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Spurs 91¢ 97¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Spurs 91¢ 96¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Spurs 91¢ 94¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Under 91¢ 94¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 91¢ 94¢ $100 $103 +$4 (+4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Under 91¢ 94¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 91¢ 94¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Spurs 91¢ 90¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 91¢ 90¢ $100 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? No 91¢ 89¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Under 91¢ 89¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? No 91¢ 88¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? No 91¢ 88¢ $100 $96 −$4 (-4%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 86¢ $100 $95 −$5 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 14 $99 +$10 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $96 +$9 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$32
other 14% +$210
weather 5% +$36
crypto 4% +$4
culture 2% $0
world 0% +$4
finance 0% +$4
politics 0% −$4
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 91¢ $20 1m
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $100 4m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 91¢ $100 6m
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $1 7m
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $61 7m
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $39 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 91¢ $64 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 91¢ $9 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 91¢ $27 9m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 91¢ $100 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 BUY Under 91¢ $100 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Under 91¢ $100 12m
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $100 12m
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $1 13m
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $54 13m
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $46 13m
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Knicks 91¢ $100 13m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 BUY Under 91¢ $91 13m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 BUY Under 91¢ $9 13m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Under 91¢ $9 13m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $100 14m
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 91¢ $100 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Under 91¢ $18 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Under 91¢ $82 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 91¢ $4 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 91¢ $10 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 91¢ $68 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 91¢ $18 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 91¢ $1 26m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 91¢ $72 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 +1.7% -8.0% 92% 5% -8.0%
≤30d 253 +1.7% -8.0% 92% 5% -8.0%
≤90d 253 +1.7% -8.0% 92% 5% -8.0%
all 253 +1.7% -8.0% 92% 5% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 5% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 0% -16.8%
15% -24.9% 0% -24.8%
20% -32.2% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,026.94 · official $3,973.80 · 655 history records