Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:15:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8C 0x8c34…fc08 crypto 121 markets active 4d ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$171 (-4%) realized −$171 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate49%59W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day138.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$215
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -5.2% -14.2% 47% 10% -17.2%
≤30d 121 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 18% -14.0%
≤90d 121 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 18% -14.0%
all 121 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 18% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover138.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 18% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 9% -22.2%
15% -29.8% 7% -29.8%
20% -36.7% 5% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.44 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.42 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses59 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage7d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day138.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 121 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1178 history records