trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 40% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 40% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 25 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 56% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $44 | $44 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 14 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $30 | −$3 | -10% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 08 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | May 16 | $14 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jake Paul fight Jorge Masvidal next? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Apr 15 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Apr 13 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 08 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 07 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |