Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c50…d6eb
sports · 279 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$6,593 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,342 · open −$449
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$558
Realized+$6,342
Unrealized−$449
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses157 / 120
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$330
Open positions2
Markets (closed)277 / 279
History coverage579d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,063
7 days+$2,880
14 days+$5,512
30 days+$5,656
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 76¢ 48¢ $506 $316 −$190 (-38%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 57¢ 28¢ $500 $241 −$259 (-52%)
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Knicks 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons Air Force Falcons 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Semen Pankin 70¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Chisinau: Francesco Maestrelli vs Kimmer Coppejans Francesco Maestrelli 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oleg Prihodko Oleg Prihodko 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
76ers vs. Pacers Pacers 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Bulls Bulls 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Devils Devils 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Rutgers Scarlet Knights 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 29¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev Pablo Llamas Ruiz 36¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Stan Wawrinka 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons Bowling Green Falcons 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Trail Blazers 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 77¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 30¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $201 +$62 +31%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $200 +$29 +14%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $201 +$80 +40%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $405 −$146 -36%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $0 $0 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $201 +$76 +38%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $202 −$199 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $200 −$199 -100%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $1,015 +$985 +97%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $53 +$157 +294%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $201 +$65 +32%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $203 +$262 +129%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $95 +$7 +7%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $202 +$80 +40%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $201 +$84 +42%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $201 +$52 +26%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $321 +$557 +174%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $200 +$15 +7%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $201 −$199 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $202 +$96 +48%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $201 +$52 +26%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $203 −$200 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $200 +$29 +14%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $203 +$178 +88%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $201 +$58 +29%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $1,024 −$1,000 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $201 +$84 +42%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $55 −$54 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $203 −$200 -99%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $109 +$9 +8%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $201 +$65 +32%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $201 −$199 -99%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $201 +$69 +34%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $405 −$200 -49%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $2,033 +$2,411 +119%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 09 $204 +$629 +307%
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 08 $1,011 +$628 +62%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 08 $203 −$201 -99%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $204 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $204 −$200 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 07 $201 +$65 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$5,142
world 13% +$814
other 1% −$57
culture 0% +$1
crypto 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 57¢ $506 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 76¢ $510 1h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 24¢ $2 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 83¢ $5 16h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 76¢ $201 17h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 37¢ $204 18h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 26¢ $0 21h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin BUY Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $200 21h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 77¢ $201 21h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 24¢ $204 21h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 71¢ $201 21h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak BUY Oleksii Krutykh 88¢ $6 21h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 61¢ $202 22h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 83¢ $200 22h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 72¢ $201 23h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 50¢ $1,015 24h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Polina Iatcenko 25¢ $43 28h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Polina Iatcenko 24¢ $10 28h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 93¢ $95 41h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 43¢ $203 41h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 75¢ $201 42h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 32¢ $204 42h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 30¢ $204 44h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 23¢ $204 44h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 71¢ $72 45h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 71¢ $129 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 79¢ $201 45h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 71¢ $4 45h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 45¢ $108 46h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 38¢ $7 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 57% +9.2%
≤30d 109 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 63% +10.8%
≤90d 156 -10.3% -18.9% 60% 55% +10.1%
all 277 -2.6% -11.8% 57% 52% +9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 52% +9.8%
10% -20.3% 41% -0.7%
15% -28.0% 30% -10.3%
20% -35.0% 22% -19.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $557.52 · official $557.52 (match) · 811 history records