Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c5b…c6e4
sports · 387 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$108 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$296
Realized−$107
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses180 / 200
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions7
Markets (closed)380 / 387
History coverage16d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day83.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$53
14 days−$107
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 91¢ 90¢ $77 $77 −$0 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 85¢ 82¢ $56 $54 −$2 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 82¢ 82¢ $40 $41 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 86¢ 88¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 82¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 82¢ 83¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Montedio Yamagata vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Blaublitz Akita win on 2026-05-31? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Thespa Gunma vs. FC Gifu: O/U 4.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Gifu win on 2026-05-31? No 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Thespa Gunma vs. FC Gifu: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Poland (-1.5) Poland 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $77 −$8 -11%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $35 −$5 -15%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $33 −$21 -64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$5 -66%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $14 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $14 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $33 −$1 -3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $28 +$3 +11%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $59 +$8 +13%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $49 +$6 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 $0 -1%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $88 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 +$1 +11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 $0 -0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $7 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $56 +$13 +24%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $7 +$1 +14%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Jun 11 $7 +$2 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 Jun 11 $14 +$3 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Jun 11 $7 +$1 +19%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $35 +$7 +19%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $7 +$1 +19%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $105 −$6 -6%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $35 −$2 -6%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $21 +$2 +9%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $147 +$6 +4%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $14 +$3 +24%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $49 +$9 +19%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $14 +$2 +11%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $42 +$5 +13%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $7 +$1 +11%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $14 +$1 +10%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $14 $0 -2%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 $0 +1%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 $0 -6%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $90 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $21 $0 +0%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $21 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$135
crypto 21% −$203
other 14% −$78
world 3% +$39
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $7 53m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 81¢ $7 59m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 81¢ $7 59m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 81¢ $7 59m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 72¢ $28 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $7 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 89¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $7 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $0 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $7 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $7 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $7 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $7 3h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $7 3h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $7 3h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $7 3h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $7 3h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $1 4h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 86¢ $7 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $7 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 85¢ $7 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 39% -7.0%
≤30d 380 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 30% -11.0%
≤90d 380 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 30% -11.0%
all 380 -11.5% -19.9% 47% 30% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 30% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 17% -19.5%
15% -34.6% 11% -27.3%
20% -41.0% 6% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $296.15 · official $296.16 (match) · 1543 history records