trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | +99.8% | +80.8% | 33% | 33% | -37.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +12.4% | +1.7% | 62% | 15% | -39.2% |
| all | 384 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 60% | 39% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 39% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 23% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 8% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 3% | -37.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 10 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 09 | $10 | +$40 | +376% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 09 | $10 | +$40 | +376% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $849 | −$406 | -48% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | May 28 | $164 | −$5 | -3% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | May 28 | $125 | −$6 | -5% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 17 | $497 | +$48 | +10% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Apr 11 | $54 | +$6 | +12% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 10 | $136 | −$136 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 09 | $97 | +$3 | +4% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $270 | +$27 | +10% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Apr 07 | $5 | −$3 | -69% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 06 | $1,211 | −$1,211 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 06 | $95 | +$5 | +5% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Apr 05 | $193 | +$7 | +4% |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Apr 04 | $90 | +$10 | +11% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Apr 04 | $46 | +$4 | +9% |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Apr 04 | $91 | +$9 | +10% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 29 | $281 | +$19 | +7% |
| Jazz vs. Suns | Mar 29 | $91 | +$9 | +10% |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Mar 28 | $94 | +$6 | +6% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 27 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Mar 26 | $1,324 | −$1,023 | -77% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $1,944 | −$420 | -22% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Mar 26 | $186 | +$14 | +7% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Mar 26 | $1,840 | −$242 | -13% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mar 24 | $561 | −$8 | -1% |
| Pacers vs. Magic | Mar 24 | $878 | −$17 | -2% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Mar 24 | $657 | −$357 | -54% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $297 | +$26 | +9% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | Mar 22 | $303 | +$23 | +8% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Mar 22 | $598 | −$69 | -12% |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Mar 21 | $296 | +$104 | +35% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $903 | +$79 | +9% |
| Heat vs. Suns | Mar 20 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Wizards | Mar 20 | $14 | +$5 | +32% |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | Mar 20 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Mar 20 | $133 | −$133 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Cavaliers | Mar 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Cavaliers | Mar 20 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Mar 20 | $363 | −$48 | -13% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Suns | Mar 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Timberwolves | Mar 20 | $154 | −$105 | -68% |
| Raptors vs. Thunder | Mar 20 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Mavericks | Mar 20 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Mar 20 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Mar 20 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Spurs | Mar 20 | $389 | −$216 | -56% |