trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 73% | 27% | +7.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 78% | 39% | +3.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 78% | 39% | +3.3% |
| all | 18 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 78% | 39% | +3.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.3% | 39% | +3.3% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 22% | -6.6% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 17% | -15.6% |
| 20% | -29.5% | 17% | -23.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 99¢ | $135 | $149 | +$14 (+11%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 38¢ | $18 | $19 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $9 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+22%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | Jun 20 | $130 | +$9 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $79 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $160 | +$44 | +27% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $37 | −$14 | -38% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $377 | +$19 | +5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $95 | +$5 | +5% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 17 | $710 | +$25 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $451 | +$296 | +66% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 13 | $444 | +$52 | +12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $320 | −$20 | -6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$2 | +69% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $230 | +$10 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +3% |