Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c90…a904
crypto · 164 markets active 5d ago
0.0score
−$48,252 -80%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48,252 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$193
Realized−$48,252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses85 / 282
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)367 / 164
History coverage3d
Avg bet$370
Trades / day1173.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43,775
7 days−$43,773
14 days−$48,252
30 days−$48,252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 15¢ 100¢ $28 $188 +$160 (+567%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 82¢ 78¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $604 $0 −$604 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $414 −$414 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $604 −$604 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $395 −$395 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $232 −$232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $293 −$293 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $369 −$369 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $567 −$567 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $409 −$409 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $355 −$355 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $410 −$410 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $978 −$978 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $570 −$570 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1,455 −$1,455 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $910 −$910 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $519 −$519 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1,225 −$1,225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $350 −$350 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $486 −$486 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,794 −$1,794 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $633 −$633 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $495 −$495 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $596 −$596 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,477
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $107 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $45 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $28 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $94 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $99 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $45 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $97 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $46 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $18 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-66.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 205 -98.9% -99.0% 1% 1% -100.0%
≤30d 367 -62.4% -66.0% 23% 20% -51.4%
≤90d 367 -62.4% -66.0% 23% 20% -51.4%
all 367 -62.4% -66.0% 23% 20% -51.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1173.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.0% 20% -51.4%
10% ← realistic here -69.2% 13% -56.0%
15% -72.2% 10% -60.3%
20% -74.9% 6% -64.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $192.86 · official $192.01 (match) · 3500 history records