Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:17:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8ca2…1d74
sports · 715 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$155 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$155 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized+$155
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses348 / 350
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions17
Markets (closed)698 / 715
History coverage29d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day99.9
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 17 History 698 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$104
14 days−$1
30 days+$155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 36¢ $20 $17 −$2 (-11%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 78¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$3 (+28%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 55¢ 56¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 85¢ 80¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 89¢ 84¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 28¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-26%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 18¢ 21¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+17%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? No 62¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 79¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 73¢ 69¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Under 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 38¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under 48¢ 49¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $28 +$5 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -20%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 −$1 -83%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$9 -46%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$7 -33%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $9 +$9 +101%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $7 −$2 -33%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $7 +$8 +112%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 +$14 +202%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 +$1 +11%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 +$9 +72%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$14 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$19 +71%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$6 +134%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $8 +$4 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$107
sports 41% +$44
other 4% +$3
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 48¢ $2 10m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 32m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 39¢ $2 33m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $2 33m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 79¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 79¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 75¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Under 96¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $4 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 7¢ $0 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 33¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $20 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 5¢ $11 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 9¢ $20 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 12¢ $13 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 51¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 52¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 18¢ $2 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 18¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 17¢ $0 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 39¢ $1 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 -8.7% -17.4% 44% 40% -12.8%
≤30d 698 -1.7% -11.1% 50% 46% -9.0%
≤90d 698 -1.7% -11.1% 50% 46% -9.0%
all 698 -1.7% -11.1% 50% 46% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover99.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 46% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 41% -17.7%
15% -27.3% 33% -25.6%
20% -34.5% 24% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.72 · official $78.73 (match) · 3500 history records