Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:25:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cb8…d398
crypto · 1739 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$153 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1560 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1739 / 1739
History coverage23d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$6
14 days−$77
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 -0.5% -10.0% 91% 26% -9.8%
≤30d 1739 -0.9% -10.3% 90% 31% -10.1%
≤90d 1739 -0.9% -10.3% 90% 31% -10.1%
all 1739 -0.9% -10.3% 90% 31% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 31% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records