trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -95.0% | -95.5% | 0% | 0% | -95.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -95.0% | -95.5% | 0% | 0% | -95.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -95.0% | -95.5% | 0% | 0% | -95.7% |
| all | 22 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 55% | 45% | -93.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.9% | 45% | -93.9% |
| 10% | -33.9% | 45% | -94.5% |
| 15% | -40.3% | 27% | -95.1% |
| 20% | -46.2% | 18% | -95.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $5,957 | −$5,789 | -97% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 22 | $5,010 | −$4,651 | -93% |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | Oct 01 | $20 | +$19 | +95% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by September 30? | Oct 01 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September? | Oct 01 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | Oct 01 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Sep 29 | $10 | +$4 | +35% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 27 | $10 | +$11 | +113% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September? | Sep 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw? | Sep 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25? | Sep 26 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 25 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-09-24? | Sep 25 | $10 | +$7 | +72% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September? | Sep 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA River Plate end in a draw? | Sep 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24? | Sep 25 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23? | Sep 24 | $16 | +$6 | +35% |
| Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22? | Sep 23 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Mercury vs. Lynx | Sep 22 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |
| Broncos vs. Chargers | Sep 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21? | Sep 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |