Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cc6…cf5d
crypto · 1350 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$357 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$357 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$357
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses39 / 1312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1351 / 1350
History coverage16d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day53.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1351 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$329
14 days−$646
30 days−$357
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$67 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$8 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $423 −$398 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -81%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$11 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $184 +$80 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $205 +$99 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $37 +$23 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$18 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $94 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $141 −$57 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$5 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $61 +$19 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$4 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $27 −$7 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$19 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$357
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $17 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $17 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -2.2% -11.5% 45% 45% -29.0%
≤30d 1351 -0.7% -10.1% 3% 3% -10.0%
≤90d 1351 -0.7% -10.1% 3% 3% -10.0%
all 1351 -0.7% -10.1% 3% 3% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 3% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -18.6%
15% -26.6% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.68 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records