Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cee…acc8
crypto · 127 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$201 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$201 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$201
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses84 / 43
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
History coverage54d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Lakers 41¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$8 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$20 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$162
sports 15% −$54
world 1% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -15.2% -23.3% 49% 37% -11.3%
≤30d 59 -15.2% -23.3% 49% 37% -11.3%
≤90d 127 -8.5% -17.2% 66% 33% -11.7%
all 127 -8.5% -17.2% 66% 33% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 33% -11.7%
10% -25.2% 16% -20.1%
15% -32.4% 10% -27.9%
20% -39.0% 8% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records