Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cfc…7f80
other · 119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,710 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,003 · open −$267
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,884
Realized−$13,003
Unrealized−$267
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses45 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions1
Markets (closed)118 / 119
History coverage633d
Avg bet$503
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit30%
Chart Positions 1 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$110
14 days+$524
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Yes 10¢ 100¢ $344 $3,473 +$3,129 (+911%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1,481 $1,999 +$518 (+35%)
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? No 92¢ 100¢ $610 $665 +$55 (+9%)
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? No 58¢ 100¢ $373 $647 +$273 (+73%)
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? Yes 31¢ 100¢ $93 $300 +$207 (+223%)
Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? No 92¢ 100¢ $260 $284 +$24 (+9%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India England 28¢ 100¢ $68 $240 +$172 (+254%)
Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? No 99¢ 100¢ $199 $200 +$1 (+1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Australia 92¢ 100¢ $37 $40 +$3 (+9%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Bangladesh 17¢ 2¢ $301 $34 −$267 (-89%)
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 57¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $469 $0 −$469 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 5¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $950 $0 −$950 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 12¢ 0¢ $696 $0 −$696 (-100%)
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5,237 $0 −$5,237 (-100%)
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? No 55¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 21¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1,085 $0 −$1,085 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $37 +$3 +9%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $127 −$107 -84%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $31 −$6 -21%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $653 +$2 +0%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $348 +$632 +182%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $63 −$63 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $2,199 −$848 -39%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $32 −$11 -36%
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? Mar 24 $2 +$3 +144%
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2 Mar 24 $147 −$147 -100%
Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2 Mar 24 $199 +$1 +1%
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Mar 02 $610 +$55 +9%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL? Feb 02 $98 −$98 -100%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $499 +$846 +169%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $490 −$386 -79%
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $378 −$378 -100%
Rams vs. Seahawks Feb 02 $2,333 −$2,333 -100%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $200 −$200 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Feb 02 $3,070 −$3,070 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jan 28 $4,731 +$518 +11%
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jan 28 $1,069 −$947 -89%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 20 $154 −$154 -100%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 20 $999 −$999 -100%
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 20 $223 −$223 -100%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 20 $122 −$122 -100%
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? Jan 20 $1,997 +$4 +0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South? Jan 20 $25 +$65 +257%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North? Jan 20 $92 +$100 +108%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North? Jan 20 $220 +$280 +127%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West? Jan 20 $373 +$152 +41%
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South? Jan 20 $1,036 +$848 +82%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East? Jan 20 $877 +$2,238 +255%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 30 $185 −$27 -14%
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 20 $30 +$30 +100%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West? Dec 20 $1,000 +$1,222 +122%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Nov 25 $207 −$94 -45%
Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Nov 25 $260 +$24 +9%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 26 $5,237 −$5,237 -100%
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 26 $567 −$369 -65%
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 26 $114 +$114 +100%
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Sep 29 $373 +$273 +73%
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standing Sep 29 $344 +$3,129 +911%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 26 $227 −$179 -79%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Sep 26 $1,238 −$1,132 -91%
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 202 Aug 21 $93 +$207 +223%
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? Aug 13 $76 +$124 +163%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% −$160
sports 35% −$9,598
politics 6% −$3,513
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 32¢ $13 0m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 31¢ $11 0m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 31¢ $1 0m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 29¢ $12 2m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 29¢ $6 2m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 29¢ $12 2m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 32¢ $13 2m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 27¢ $11 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 13¢ $5 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 5¢ $2 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 5¢ $2 7m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 6¢ $2 8m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 7¢ $3 37m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 7¢ $3 38m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 6¢ $2 38m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 6¢ $2 39m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 7¢ $3 39m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 7¢ $3 39m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 7¢ $3 39m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 8¢ $3 40m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 8¢ $3 40m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 15¢ $6 40m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 15¢ $6 41m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 18¢ $7 41m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 20¢ $8 42m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 18¢ $7 43m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 18¢ $7 43m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 18¢ $7 44m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 19¢ $8 45m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 16¢ $7 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -36.6% -42.6% 33% 0% -65.8%
≤30d 8 +85.0% +67.4% 38% 25% -31.4%
≤90d 12 +52.0% +37.6% 42% 25% -35.8%
all 118 -3.4% -12.6% 38% 28% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 28% -31.2%
10% -21.0% 28% -37.8%
15% -28.6% 25% -43.8%
20% -35.6% 23% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,883.60 · official $7,883.60 (match) · 1198 history records