Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:23:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d00…0121
crypto · 1600 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$134 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1588 / 27
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1615 / 1600
History coverage6d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day315.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 1615 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$130
14 days−$130
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 0¢ 46¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $4 $1 −$2 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs Johnny Speeds 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? No 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 22¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe S Jun 13 $0 $0 +72%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +1610%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$69
other 7% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1615 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 1615 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1615 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
all 1615 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover315.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -18.4%
15% -25.8% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.15 · official $3.76 · 3500 history records