Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d03…100e
sports · 736 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$12,988 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,988 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,988
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses480 / 256
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$3,098
Open positions0
Markets (closed)736 / 736
History coverage204d
Avg bet$662
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 736 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,911
7 days−$1,975
14 days−$546
30 days−$2,696
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 36¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 75¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 73¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 60¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 83¢ 0¢ $452 $0 −$452 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 32¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 69¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 68¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Panama leading at halftime? No 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Aurora Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 55¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner MIBR 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 50¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays 62¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $72 +$11 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,218 −$1,146 -94%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,518 −$5,299 -81%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$5 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,817 +$624 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2,519 +$811 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,119 +$889 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,773 −$1,761 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,012 +$193 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,003 +$54 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $605 +$216 +36%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,508 +$306 +12%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $506 +$242 +48%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7,230 −$374 -5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,561 −$2,532 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,011 −$1,930 -96%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $707 −$204 -29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,006 +$220 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,705 +$679 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,503 +$960 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,162 +$1,054 +49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,744 −$1,102 -19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,806 −$700 -39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $855 −$263 -31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $452 +$102 +22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,341 +$741 +22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $803 +$82 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,313 +$505 +22%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $405 +$240 +59%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,255 +$179 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,887 −$263 -9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $505 +$212 +42%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,063 +$291 +10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $57 +$10 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $480 −$126 -26%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $691 +$120 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$42 +82%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $804 +$166 +21%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $101 +$96 +94%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $252 +$69 +28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $755 +$47 +6%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,697 +$295 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,711 +$562 +21%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $776 +$47 +6%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $305 +$86 +28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,312 +$584 +44%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $81 −$76 -94%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,082 +$94 +9%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,702 +$268 +16%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $151 −$54 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$11,204
crypto 3% −$1,549
world 0% −$52
politics 0% +$1
other 0% −$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $84 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 85¢ $72 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 5¢ $72 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $1,218 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 28¢ $382 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 14¢ $585 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 12¢ $251 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 71¢ $125 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $125 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $120 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $403 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 80¢ $5,990 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2,663 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $3,330 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $1,207 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $806 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2,013 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $994 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $995 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $778 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 70¢ $779 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $804 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 63¢ $607 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $1,512 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $2,519 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $5,203 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 96¢ $5,006 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $5,058 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 98¢ $5,003 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 53% -10.8%
≤30d 348 -2.3% -11.6% 63% 52% -9.7%
≤90d 601 -2.7% -12.0% 64% 54% -10.4%
all 736 -1.4% -10.8% 65% 55% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 55% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 39% -19.6%
15% -27.1% 24% -27.3%
20% -34.3% 13% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2570 history records