Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d07…83a6
sports · 54 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses20 / 24
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions10
Markets (closed)44 / 54
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day226.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 86¢ 68¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-21%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 22¢ 32¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+48%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 42¢ 46¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 65¢ 56¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-15%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 75¢ 70¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 15¢ 20¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+34%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 16¢ 8¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-47%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$2 +3%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $41 −$2 -6%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $6 −$1 -12%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $13 −$1 -6%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $24 −$13 -55%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $6 +$2 +34%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $3 $0 +0%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $3 $0 +13%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$1 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $35 +$6 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Daria Snigur 57¢ $6 0m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 65¢ $1 1m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini SELL Lucrezia Stefanini 16¢ $1 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 66¢ $1 1m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 15¢ $1 2m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 66¢ $1 2m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 48¢ $0 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 28¢ $0 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 35¢ $1 5m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 42¢ $0 7m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 44¢ $1 7m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Alicia Dudeney 30¢ $2 7m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 44¢ $0 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 51¢ $0 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 51¢ $0 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 51¢ $1 9m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 65¢ $0 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 58¢ $1 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $1 10m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 59¢ $0 10m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 16¢ $1 10m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 64¢ $0 10m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 64¢ $0 12m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini SELL Lucrezia Stefanini 20¢ $0 13m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 63¢ $0 15m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 41¢ $1 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -5.3% -14.4% 45% 27% -10.0%
≤30d 44 -5.3% -14.4% 45% 27% -10.0%
≤90d 44 -5.3% -14.4% 45% 27% -10.0%
all 44 -5.3% -14.4% 45% 27% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover226.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 27% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 9% -18.6%
15% -30.0% 2% -26.5%
20% -36.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.25 · official $2.56 · 979 history records