trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 47% | 47% | -18.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 47% | 47% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +14.2% | +3.3% | 47% | 47% | -18.9% |
| all | 24 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 58% | 58% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.5% | 58% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -1.9% | 33% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -11.4% | 29% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -20.1% | 29% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $300 | $262 | −$38 (-12%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $101 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $91 | $90 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $91 | $87 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $86 | $86 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $2 | $3 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $205 | +$32 | +16% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $203 | +$156 | +77% |
| England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $82 | +$18 | +22% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 17 | $250 | −$172 | -69% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 17 | $546 | −$546 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 17 | $1,481 | −$655 | -44% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$111 | +55% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $201 | +$46 | +23% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$5 | -4% |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 16 | $59 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$57 | +55% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $201 | −$199 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $205 | +$795 | +388% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Sep 11 | $617 | +$560 | +91% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 23 | $968 | +$215 | +22% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21? | May 22 | $78 | +$11 | +14% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | May 18 | $703 | −$542 | -77% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 12 | $177 | +$280 | +158% |
| Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | May 07 | $260 | −$97 | -37% |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL? | May 05 | $325 | +$202 | +62% |
| Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 02 | $54 | +$11 | +21% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 30 | $241 | +$27 | +11% |