Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d0f…52ff
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$51 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses15 / 49
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Сириус be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$7 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET May 17 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 17 $9 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 17 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 17 $10 $0 -1%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 17 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 17 $2 $0 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? May 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 17 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 17 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 17 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 17 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 17 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 17 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 17 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 17 $2 −$1 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$43
other 4% −$6
sports 1% −$1
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 4h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 27h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2d
Will Сириус be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-60.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -42.2% -47.7% 32% 29% -37.3%
≤30d 64 -56.2% -60.4% 23% 20% -45.9%
≤90d 64 -56.2% -60.4% 23% 20% -45.9%
all 64 -56.2% -60.4% 23% 20% -45.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -60.4% 20% -45.9%
10% -64.2% 14% -51.0%
15% -67.6% 11% -55.8%
20% -70.8% 8% -60.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 169 history records