Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d5b…242c
crypto · 129 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$82 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses43 / 86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)129 / 129
History coverage39d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$85 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$25 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$16 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$14 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$83 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$22 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $111 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$57 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$100 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$35 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$29 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$37 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$14 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$42 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$16 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$14 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$15 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$44 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$13 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$23 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$72
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $170 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 34% -11.2%
≤30d 109 -17.8% -25.7% 36% 34% -11.3%
≤90d 129 -25.1% -32.2% 33% 32% -12.8%
all 129 -25.1% -32.2% 33% 32% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 32% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -38.7% 28% -21.1%
15% -44.6% 23% -28.7%
20% -50.0% 19% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1202 history records