trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +37.6% | +24.5% | 100% | 100% | +24.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +37.6% | +24.5% | 100% | 100% | +24.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -20.8% | -28.4% | 40% | 40% | +10.0% |
| all | 25 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 60% | 44% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 44% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 24% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 24% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 12% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $109 | $112 | +$3 (+3%) |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 8¢ | $41 | $19 | −$22 (-53%) |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-39%) |
| Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $31 | $3 | −$28 (-91%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $845 | +$318 | +38% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will AZ win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $50 | +$79 | +158% |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | Mar 24 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Mar 17 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Mar 17 | $97 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th | Mar 17 | $100 | +$13 | +13% |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 17 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Mar 16 | $40 | +$8 | +21% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 11 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 11 | $67 | +$27 | +40% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 11 | $15 | +$6 | +42% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Mar 01 | $49 | −$9 | -18% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Mar 01 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: | Mar 01 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $30 | +$80 | +266% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 14 | $100 | +$56 | +56% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Feb 14 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Feb 11 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Feb 11 | $86 | −$5 | -6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Feb 11 | $100 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination? | Oct 30 | $139 | −$52 | -37% |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamen | Oct 30 | $112 | +$19 | +17% |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands | Oct 30 | $377 | −$257 | -68% |