Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d96…6b5e
sports · 110 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$43 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$55
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses44 / 62
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions4
Markets (closed)106 / 110
History coverage41d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$32
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 69¢ 71¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 29¢ 12¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Verdant 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner GOAL 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B Misa Esports 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $8 +$5 +60%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$2 -11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $43 −$5 -12%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$2 +33%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$3 -33%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $17 +$5 +29%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$11 +72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 −$9 -25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$6 +38%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$6 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$4 +17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $18 +$7 +36%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 −$5 -66%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$2 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 -12%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $1 +$1 +118%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$40
crypto 20% −$22
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 29¢ $2 25m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 69¢ $10 31m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 97¢ $8 58m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 66¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 34¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 9¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 45¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 44¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 43¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 36¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 58¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 38¢ $10 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $16 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 42¢ $7 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 55¢ $7 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $7 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $8 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 74¢ $6 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 58¢ $7 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 76¢ $9 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 25¢ $6 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 26¢ $2 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $3 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 32¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -27.2% -34.1% 43% 40% -15.5%
≤30d 72 -19.2% -26.9% 47% 44% -14.0%
≤90d 106 -20.7% -28.2% 42% 38% -16.8%
all 106 -20.7% -28.2% 42% 38% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.2% 38% -16.8%
10% -35.1% 30% -24.7%
15% -41.4% 25% -32.0%
20% -47.1% 17% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.07 · official $11.08 (match) · 266 history records