Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d99…0f80
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$81 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$65 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized+$65
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses23 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)47 / 50
History coverage7d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 3 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days+$78
14 days+$65
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $93 $112 +$19 (+21%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 36¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+37%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$61 +596%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $24 +$26 +109%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$31 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$2 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% +$39
crypto 42% −$26
sports 9% +$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $71 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $44 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 18h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $12 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $24 33h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $15 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +8.3% -2.0% 46% 46% +39.3%
≤30d 47 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 47% +15.9%
≤90d 47 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 47% +15.9%
all 47 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 47% +15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 47% +15.9%
10% -16.9% 38% +4.8%
15% -24.9% 32% -5.3%
20% -32.3% 28% -14.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.27 · official $139.35 (match) · 112 history records