Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:11:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8da3…7c12
crypto · 815 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$835 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,123 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,123
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses550 / 264
Est. fees paid−$68
Open positions1
Markets (closed)814 / 815
History coverage109d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day24.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 814 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days−$66
14 days−$66
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 72¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09? No 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-09? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-05-12? No 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw? No 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-05-08? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw? No 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? No 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? No 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-05-08? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09? No 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03? No 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw? No 63¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07? No 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09? No 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Goa win on 2026-05-09? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? No 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Jun 14 $23 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $27 +$4 +15%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 14 $46 +$16 +35%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $59 +$30 +52%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $99 −$32 -32%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $56 +$29 +51%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $54 −$31 -57%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $13 +$6 +48%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $50 +$17 +35%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $59 +$26 +43%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $55 +$13 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $63 +$21 +33%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $74 −$39 -53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $37 +$12 +31%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $53 +$20 +37%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $105 −$21 -20%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $99 −$29 -29%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $32 +$13 +41%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $72 +$11 +15%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $61 +$33 +53%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $57 −$27 -48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $67 +$23 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$43 -84%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Grou Jun 12 $17 +$5 +33%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $54 +$26 +49%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $29 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $99 −$33 -34%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $42 −$28 -66%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $49 +$15 +32%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $79 +$23 +29%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $78 −$29 -37%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $96 −$27 -28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $47 +$24 +50%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $70 +$7 +10%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $40 −$15 -37%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $48 +$15 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $55 +$21 +39%
Will GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $8 −$3 -43%
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $8 −$2 -23%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$13 +26%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $49 +$23 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $87 −$17 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $32 +$9 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$592
sports 19% −$400
other 10% −$197
weather 0% +$1
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL Leo Team 85¢ $6 9m
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro SELL Nuclear TigeRES 89¢ $25 9m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL HOTU 87¢ $30 9m
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs SELL Clutchain 100¢ $63 9m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 100¢ $64 10m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 78¢ $5 12m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 82¢ $4 29m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 80¢ $4 33m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 77¢ $5 35m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 80¢ $5 37m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 75¢ $4 40m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 63¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 87¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 80¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 80¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 79¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 80¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 76¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 76¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 76¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 66¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 63¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 55¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 60¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 89¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 88¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 87¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 82¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 83¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +3.1% -6.7% 60% 56% -10.9%
≤30d 88 +4.5% -5.5% 61% 56% -10.1%
≤90d 411 +0.4% -9.1% 51% 39% -14.8%
all 814 -0.7% -10.1% 68% 40% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 40% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 26% -21.0%
15% -26.6% 16% -28.6%
20% -33.8% 9% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3375 history records