Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:06:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8da4…f3d1
crypto · 252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$49,207 +162%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,445 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses112 / 595
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)707 / 252
History coverage14d
Avg bet$120
Trades / day236.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 707 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,689
7 days−$11,931
14 days−$11,445
30 days−$11,445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $122 −$122 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,634
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $30 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $14 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $13 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $17 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $24 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $15 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $12 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $20 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $14 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-69.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 672 -70.1% -72.9% 14% 10% -42.6%
≤30d 707 -66.5% -69.7% 16% 11% -33.5%
≤90d 707 -66.5% -69.7% 16% 11% -33.5%
all 707 -66.5% -69.7% 16% 11% -33.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover236.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.7% 11% -33.5%
10% ← realistic here -72.6% 7% -39.9%
15% -75.3% 4% -45.7%
20% -77.7% 3% -51.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records