trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 8% | -12.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 8% | -12.6% |
| all | 25 | -5.3% | -14.4% | 52% | 8% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.4% | 8% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 4% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 4% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 0% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $78 | +$1 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $51 | −$14 | -28% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $3 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 26 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 01 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | May 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | May 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 14 | $6 | +$3 | +49% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 23 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14? | Mar 14 | $10 | −$4 | -36% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | Mar 14 | $2 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 12? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5? | Mar 05 | $13 | −$1 | -8% |