trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +24.4% | +12.5% | 50% | 50% | +36.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 40% | 40% | -2.6% |
| ≤90d | 35 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 49% | 29% | -10.4% |
| all | 302 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 53% | 42% | -11.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 42% | -11.7% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 29% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 21% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 16% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 67¢ | 28¢ | $200 | $85 | −$115 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,519 | +$896 | +59% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $206 | −$21 | -10% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $404 | −$13 | -3% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $875 | +$695 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $2,022 | −$1,170 | -58% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $4,035 | −$1,947 | -48% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $3,454 | +$601 | +17% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 07 | $2,966 | +$498 | +17% |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Apr 05 | $3,113 | −$35 | -1% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Apr 04 | $2,816 | +$237 | +8% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 03 | $200 | −$196 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 03 | $100 | −$97 | -97% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 03 | $300 | +$143 | +48% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Apr 02 | $2,715 | −$10 | -0% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 02 | $1,951 | +$763 | +39% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Apr 01 | $1,839 | +$112 | +6% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Mar 31 | $1,673 | +$168 | +10% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 30 | $1,556 | +$117 | +8% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 29 | $1,386 | +$170 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Bucks | Mar 28 | $1,304 | +$82 | +6% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 28 | $50 | +$44 | +89% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 28 | $4,001 | −$2,791 | -70% |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Mar 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Mar 26 | $3,684 | +$417 | +11% |
| Nets vs. Warriors | Mar 26 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Mar 26 | $3,524 | +$231 | +7% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 25 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Mar 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Mar 24 | $2,557 | +$1,117 | +44% |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks | Mar 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Mar 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Mar 22 | $2,325 | +$381 | +16% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 19 | $1,979 | +$347 | +18% |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Mar 18 | $1,783 | +$196 | +11% |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Mar 15 | $3,715 | −$3,302 | -89% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Mar 14 | $3,385 | +$361 | +11% |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Mar 14 | $50 | −$43 | -87% |
| Jazz vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 14 | $3,575 | −$128 | -4% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 14 | $6,338 | +$515 | +8% |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Mar 13 | $2,404 | +$607 | +25% |
| Hornets vs. Kings | Mar 12 | $2,273 | +$131 | +6% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Mar 12 | $100 | −$5 | -5% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Mar 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Rockets | Mar 11 | $50 | +$27 | +54% |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 11 | $50 | +$35 | +70% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 11 | $100 | +$89 | +89% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY Yes | 67¢ | $202 | 1h |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | SELL Yes | 92¢ | $2,415 | 3h |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $1,519 | 5h |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL Yes | 4¢ | $185 | 8h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL Yes | 69¢ | $391 | 9d |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $404 | 9d |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $103 | 9d |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $103 | 9d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 55¢ | $875 | 9d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 11¢ | $268 | 14d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 65¢ | $585 | 14d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 68¢ | $1,716 | 15d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 33¢ | $306 | 15d |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | SELL Rockets | 34¢ | $2,088 | 62d |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY Rockets | 65¢ | $4,035 | 63d |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 84¢ | $4,054 | 70d |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 71¢ | $3,454 | 71d |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 91¢ | $3,464 | 74d |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $2,966 | 75d |
| Suns vs. Bulls | SELL Bulls | 8¢ | $23 | 75d |
| Suns vs. Bulls | BUY Bulls | 14¢ | $60 | 75d |
| Suns vs. Bulls | SELL Suns | 83¢ | $3,019 | 75d |
| Suns vs. Bulls | BUY Suns | 84¢ | $3,053 | 76d |
| Hawks vs. Nets | BUY Hawks | 92¢ | $2,816 | 78d |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Pelicans | 30¢ | $200 | 78d |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY Lakers | 11¢ | $100 | 78d |
| Suns vs. Hornets | SELL Hornets | 100¢ | $443 | 78d |
| Suns vs. Hornets | BUY Hornets | 67¢ | $300 | 79d |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | BUY Warriors | 1¢ | $10 | 79d |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | SELL Spurs | 98¢ | $2,984 | 79d |