trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 100% | 0% | -0.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +6.6% | -3.6% | 83% | 0% | -2.7% |
| all | 21 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 90% | 5% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 5% | -3.0% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 5% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 5% | -20.7% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 0% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $3,279 | $3,278 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $544 | $567 | +$22 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | Jun 04 | $161 | +$11 | +7% |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Jun 04 | $213 | +$21 | +10% |
| Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Jun 04 | $633 | +$59 | +9% |
| Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial | Jun 04 | $1,424 | +$147 | +10% |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | May 16 | $2,699 | +$155 | +6% |
| Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial el | Apr 07 | $81 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | Feb 12 | $512 | +$29 | +6% |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Feb 12 | $395 | +$12 | +3% |
| Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY | Feb 02 | $536 | +$13 | +2% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $300 | +$22 | +7% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $500 | +$14 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 29 | $57 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $53 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the | Dec 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 12 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? | Dec 04 | $896 | +$57 | +6% |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Nov 06 | $813 | +$82 | +10% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $1,253 | +$79 | +6% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 02 | $526 | +$236 | +45% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | Oct 21 | $518 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 03 | $200 | +$13 | +6% |