Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8de3…26fd
crypto · 564 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,619 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,630 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$201
Realized−$6,630
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses264 / 296
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions2
Markets (closed)560 / 564
History coverage64d
Avg bet$178
Trades / day43.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 560 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$788
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$1,073
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 48¢ 54¢ $120 $133 +$13 (+11%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $70 $68 −$2 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$68 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $120 −$115 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$120 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $247 +$286 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$39 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$58 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $144 +$27 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$14 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$37 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$50 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$47 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$65 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$67 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$140 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$57 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $73 +$94 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$50 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$84 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $101 +$60 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $219 −$219 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$87 -84%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $149 +$157 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$45 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$23 +83%
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $37 −$10 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$73 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$113 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$45 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $82 +$59 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$51 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$30 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $219 −$50 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$6,266
sports 4% −$396
other 0% +$44
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $70 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $124 8m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $72 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $42 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $533 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $164 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $83 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $72 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $83 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $62 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $67 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $82 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $45 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $60 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $81 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $46 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $101 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $63 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 51% -9.7%
≤30d 141 -8.0% -16.8% 45% 45% -15.9%
≤90d 560 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 44% -15.5%
all 560 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 44% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 44% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 40% -23.6%
15% -31.8% 38% -31.0%
20% -38.5% 33% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $201.00 · official $320.03 · 3500 history records