trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on | Jun 12 | $7 | −$6 | -84% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Jun 12 | $22 | +$7 | +33% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9? | Mar 13 | $5 | +$4 | +82% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | Mar 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? | Mar 08 | $1 | +$1 | +90% |
| Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07? | Mar 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? | Mar 07 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07? | Mar 07 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-07? | Mar 07 | $6 | +$2 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Mar 07 | $3 | +$3 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Mar 07 | $15 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Trump say "BRICS" this week? (March 8) | Mar 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Mar 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -25.9% | -33.0% | 50% | 50% | -6.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -25.9% | -33.0% | 50% | 50% | -6.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -25.9% | -33.0% | 50% | 50% | -6.1% |
| all | 14 | -21.5% | -28.9% | 50% | 50% | -24.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 50% | -24.8% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 36% | -32.0% |
| 15% | -42.0% | 29% | -38.6% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 21% | -44.6% |