Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:32:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e20…15fa
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses6 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -8.8% -17.5% 18% 12% -17.6%
≤30d 33 -8.8% -17.5% 18% 12% -17.6%
≤90d 33 -8.8% -17.5% 18% 12% -17.6%
all 33 -8.8% -17.5% 18% 12% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 12% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 3% -25.5%
15% -32.6% 0% -32.7%
20% -39.2% 0% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records