Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e52…2320
sports · 1395 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$25,652 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,730 · open −$3,253
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,033
Realized+$4,730
Unrealized−$3,253
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1256 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$127
Open positions31
Markets (closed)1364 / 1395
History coverage5d
Avg bet$244
Trades / day444.1
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 31 History 1364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,166
7 days+$4,730
14 days+$4,730
30 days+$4,730
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 99¢ 62¢ $7,431 $4,691 −$2,740 (-37%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner Ilbirs eSports 99¢ 61¢ $1,006 $620 −$386 (-38%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 99¢ 100¢ $360 $364 +$3 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 0 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $300 +$3 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 0 - 1 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $298 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 1 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $298 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 2 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: IK Start 2 - 3 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Blinkova 99¢ 92¢ $209 $193 −$16 (-8%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 61¢ $96 $65 −$31 (-32%)
Game Handicap: Noir (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5) Ilbirs eSports 85¢ 60¢ $91 $65 −$26 (-29%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner Noir Esports 75¢ 56¢ $80 $59 −$21 (-26%)
Tessa Brockmann vs. Alycia Parks: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 92¢ 75¢ $70 $57 −$13 (-19%)
Spread: Notts County FC (-2.5) Notts County FC 99¢ 100¢ $38 $39 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Maccabi Tel-Aviv (-17.5) Maccabi Tel-Aviv 99¢ 100¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Brockmann vs. Parks: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Siniakova vs. Yuan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 75¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-24%)
Collignon vs. Agut: Match O/U 22.5 Under 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Blinkova vs. Bondar: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Katie Volynets vs. Kimberly Birrell: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 84¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Brockmann vs. Parks: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 75¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Brockmann vs. Parks: Match O/U 23.5 Over 99¢ 75¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Game Handicap: the bug (-1.5) vs NA, we'd win (+1.5) the bug 98¢ 50¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-49%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 98¢ 50¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Collignon vs. Agut: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Parry vs. Seidel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Parry vs. Seidel: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Sun vs Kalinina Jun 14 $21 +$1 +3%
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Lamens vs Galfi Jun 14 $26 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 14 $207 +$4 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar Jun 14 $179 +$32 +18%
Blinkova vs. Bondar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $24 $0 +2%
Volynets vs. Birrell: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $152 +$3 +2%
Llaverias vs. Ivanova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $631 −$631 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 14 $223 +$2 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 14 $681 +$7 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $204 +$2 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 14 $506 +$5 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 14 $101 +$2 +2%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 14 $339 +$3 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 Jun 14 $157 +$2 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 14 $51 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) Jun 14 $370 +$5 +1%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5 Jun 14 $302 +$8 +3%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $442 +$6 +1%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $368 +$4 +1%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 14 $287 +$3 +1%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 14 $321 +$4 +1%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) Jun 14 $506 +$5 +1%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Jun 14 $225 +$3 +2%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2,079 +$21 +1%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,079 +$21 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 14 $506 +$5 +1%
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $1,860 +$173 +9%
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 14 $2,012 +$21 +1%
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $611 +$7 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$1,249
other 7% +$222
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Notts County FC (-2.5) BUY Notts County FC 99¢ $38 0m
Svajda vs. Damm: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 4m
Collignon vs. Agut: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 98¢ $10 6m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 99¢ $7,222 6m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 99¢ $209 6m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $209 9m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Noir Esports 75¢ $81 29m
Game Handicap: Noir (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5) BUY Ilbirs eSports 85¢ $91 29m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 90¢ $97 29m
Collignon vs. Agut: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 44m
Katie Volynets vs. Kimberly Birrell: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $5 51m
Parry vs. Seidel: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 54m
Parry vs. Seidel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 58m
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 58m
Set 1 Winner: Sun vs Kalinina BUY Kalinina 97¢ $21 58m
Set 1 Winner: Lamens vs Galfi BUY Lamens 99¢ $26 1h
Blinkova vs. Bondar: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Lamens vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Lamens vs. Galfi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Sun vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Glinka/Sakellaridis vs Hanfmann/Struff BUY Hanfmann/Struff 98¢ $207 1h
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar BUY Bondar 84¢ $179 1h
Blinkova vs. Bondar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 98¢ $24 1h
Volynets vs. Birrell: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 98¢ $152 1h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Ilbirs eSports 99¢ $1,006 2h
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashki BUY Radu Mihai Papoe 99¢ $109 2h
Llaverias vs. Ivanova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 98¢ $49 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 8h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $6 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1364 +2.4% -7.4% 92% 1% -8.5%
≤30d 1364 +2.4% -7.4% 92% 1% -8.5%
≤90d 1364 +2.4% -7.4% 92% 1% -8.5%
all 1364 +2.4% -7.4% 92% 1% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover444.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 1% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 1% -17.3%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.3%
20% -31.7% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,033.09 · official $8,047.36 (match) · 3500 history records