trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 40% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +166.7% | +141.3% | 50% | 8% | -8.5% |
| all | 25 | +81.2% | +63.9% | 48% | 8% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +63.9% | 8% | -8.0% |
| 10% | +48.2% | 8% | -16.8% |
| 15% | +33.9% | 4% | -24.8% |
| 20% | +20.8% | 4% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $4 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 24 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 23 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 21 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $26 | +$5 | +20% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech | Mar 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say 'terrible' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congre | Mar 03 | $17 | +$4 | +23% |
| Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $17 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Eastern Kentucky vs. Jacksonville | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Eastern Washington vs. Montana | Mar 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |