Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e88…284b
sports · 105 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$132 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$128 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,127
Realized+$128
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses83 / 4
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions18
Markets (closed)87 / 105
History coverage6d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 18 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$109
7 days+$128
14 days+$128
30 days+$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 95¢ 100¢ $99 $104 +$5 (+5%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 97¢ 97¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Under 96¢ 95¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 96¢ 95¢ $99 $97 −$1 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Under 95¢ 94¢ $99 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 96¢ 94¢ $99 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 95¢ 96¢ $85 $85 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 98¢ $79 $78 −$1 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 95¢ $62 $62 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 96¢ $53 $53 +$0 (+0%)
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+5%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 99¢ 98¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? No 96¢ 96¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-24.5) Knicks 95¢ 94¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Knicks 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $75 +$3 +5%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $62 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $51 +$3 +5%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $99 +$5 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $99 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $27 +$1 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $99 +$5 +5%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $93 +$3 +3%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $93 +$3 +3%
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $61 +$2 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $51 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $33 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $62 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $66 +$1 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $51 +$2 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $45 +$1 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $74 +$3 +4%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $86 +$3 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $99 +$5 +5%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $99 +$2 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $74 +$3 +3%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $40 +$2 +4%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $74 +$2 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $35 +$2 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $99 +$3 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $99 +$5 +5%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $42 +$1 +2%
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? Jun 11 $27 $0 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $39 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$60
other 24% +$38
crypto 21% +$21
world 7% +$8
tech 3% +$1
politics 2% +$4
weather 1% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY No 96¢ $8 1h
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp BUY No 98¢ $79 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $62 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 98¢ $62 3h
Spread: Spurs (-24.5) BUY Knicks 95¢ $8 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $99 4h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 96¢ $99 4h
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 97¢ $37 4h
Will Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 97¢ $63 4h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 95¢ $99 4h
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) BUY Knicks 96¢ $5 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $99 4h
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? BUY No 99¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $99 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $53 10h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $99 10h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $99 10h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $99 10h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 95¢ $85 10h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $99 10h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $99 10h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) BUY Canada 97¢ $93 12h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 95¢ $51 13h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 97¢ $93 13h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 97¢ $100 15h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 95¢ $27 19h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 95¢ $18 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 +3.0% -6.8% 95% 0% -6.6%
≤30d 87 +3.0% -6.8% 95% 0% -6.6%
≤90d 87 +3.0% -6.8% 95% 0% -6.6%
all 87 +3.0% -6.8% 95% 0% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 0% -6.6%
10% -15.7% 0% -15.6%
15% -23.9% 0% -23.7%
20% -31.3% 0% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,126.60 · official $1,128.10 (match) · 244 history records