Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:25:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8e8a…c0eb crypto 93 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$38 (-6%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate59%55W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day90.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -6.7% -15.6% 59% 58% -15.7%
≤30d 93 -6.7% -15.6% 59% 58% -15.7%
≤90d 93 -6.7% -15.6% 59% 58% -15.7%
all 93 -6.7% -15.6% 59% 58% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 58% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 53% -23.7%
15% -31.1% 51% -31.1%
20% -37.8% 32% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses55 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day90.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 93 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 199 history records