Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:02:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e90…92f6
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)5 / 10
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 5 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+5%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? No 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$24
crypto 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $5 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 63¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $5 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 13h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 16h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 37h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 40h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.83 · official $36.83 (match) · 11 history records