Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e91…3075
crypto · 689 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$788 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$788 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$788
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses307 / 382
Open positions0
Markets (closed)689 / 689
History coverage12d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day184.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 689 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,608
7 days−$374
14 days−$788
30 days−$788
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$275 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$114 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$80 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$119 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$108 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$46 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$28 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$101 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$122 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$109 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$50 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$112 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$97 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$105 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$40 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$67 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$117 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $272 +$31 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$60 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$128 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$70 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$189 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$49 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$81 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$32 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$58 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$140 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $209 +$175 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$123 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$19 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$14 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$14 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$13 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $49 −$39 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $47 +$11 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $37 −$29 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $27 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$785
other 0% −$3
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $380 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $175 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $227 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -8.9% -17.6% 41% 40% -11.9%
≤30d 689 -7.3% -16.1% 45% 44% -13.3%
≤90d 689 -7.3% -16.1% 45% 44% -13.3%
all 689 -7.3% -16.1% 45% 44% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 44% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 44% -21.6%
15% -31.4% 43% -29.2%
20% -38.2% 42% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2535 history records