Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:00:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ead…6d26
crypto · 1482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$207 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$207
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses905 / 652
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1557 / 1482
History coverage61d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day36.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$101
14 days−$98
30 days−$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No 87¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 88¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 -46.1% -51.3% 27% 27% -53.2%
≤30d 771 -14.5% -22.6% 52% 46% -20.9%
≤90d 1557 -9.1% -17.8% 58% 46% -12.5%
all 1557 -9.1% -17.8% 58% 46% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 46% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 37% -20.8%
15% -32.8% 30% -28.5%
20% -39.4% 22% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.30 · official $5.30 (match) · 3500 history records