Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8eb9…c791
crypto · 406 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$885 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$879 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$879
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses287 / 118
Open positions1
Markets (closed)405 / 406
History coverage10d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day301.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 405 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$489
7 days−$882
14 days−$879
30 days−$879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 52¢ 21¢ $11 $4 −$7 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$79 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$23 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$53 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$11 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$23 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$85 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$120 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$28 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $308 +$43 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$40 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$34 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$102 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$79 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $232 −$232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$17 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$53 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$35 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$23 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $310 +$228 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $325 +$210 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $199 +$122 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$170 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $259 +$42 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$885
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $101 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $19 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $36 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $90 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $14 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $82 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $88 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $74 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -5.5% -14.5% 68% 49% -12.2%
≤30d 405 -4.5% -13.6% 71% 51% -11.5%
≤90d 405 -4.5% -13.6% 71% 51% -11.5%
all 405 -4.5% -13.6% 71% 51% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover301.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 51% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 27% -19.9%
15% -29.4% 15% -27.7%
20% -36.3% 11% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.44 · official $0.95 · 3109 history records