Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:21:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ec6…d9ed
sports · 107 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$20,838 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,770 · open −$3,568
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$117
Realized−$17,770
Unrealized−$3,568
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses45 / 59
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$4,490
Open positions6
Markets (closed)104 / 107
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1,915
Trades / day334.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,866
7 days−$4,679
14 days−$17,770
30 days−$17,770
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes 21¢ $104 $35 −$69 (-66%)
Will Solana reach $130 in June? Yes $35 $30 −$5 (-14%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes $50 $25 −$25 (-50%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Yes 15¢ $75 $14 −$61 (-81%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 26¢ $3,391 $6 −$3,385 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $100 in June? Yes $30 $6 −$24 (-80%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Toronto Tempo $466 $0 −$466 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $9,889 +$12,903 +130%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1,820 +$180 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,380 +$620 +45%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2,591 +$3,234 +125%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $856 +$164 +19%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3,343 +$657 +20%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $200 +$50 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1,445 +$253 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $145 −$145 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $100 +$70 +70%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,143 +$122 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $553 −$553 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $1,598 −$28 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $94 −$94 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 10 $55 −$55 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 10? Jun 10 $85 −$85 -100%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 10 $649 −$649 -100%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $910 +$89 +10%
Unics Kazan vs. CSKA Moscow Jun 10 $570 +$60 +10%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $6,473 +$1,485 +23%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $6,060 −$6,060 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $3,770 −$408 -11%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1,312 −$400 -30%
Will Ireland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $70 −$70 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $2,126 −$2,126 -100%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $1,737 +$111 +6%
Finland vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $192 +$46 +24%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $131 +$57 +43%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $8,355 +$26 +0%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $214 −$214 -100%
Liverpool Montevideo vs. Cerro Largo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10,430 −$10,430 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $811 −$692 -85%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $837 −$31 -4%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $1,320 +$678 +51%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $60 −$60 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $1,568 −$1,568 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $9,700 +$200 +2%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $9,400 +$590 +6%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $10,384 +$279 +3%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $166 +$32 +19%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $7,520 +$1,870 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$27,229
politics 5% +$279
crypto 2% +$6,287
other 0% −$675
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $50 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $1 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $238 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $211 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $1 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $1 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $4 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 20¢ $178 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $174 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $74 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $84 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $0 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $46 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $2 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $12 2h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 25¢ $341 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+57.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -11.0% -19.5% 38% 26% -16.5%
≤30d 104 +73.6% +57.1% 43% 33% -21.3%
≤90d 104 +73.6% +57.1% 43% 33% -21.3%
all 104 +73.6% +57.1% 43% 33% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover334.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +57.1% 33% -21.3%
10% +42.0% 27% -28.9%
15% ← realistic here +28.3% 19% -35.7%
20% +15.7% 16% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116.93 · official $116.98 (match) · 3500 history records