Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T06:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8ece…f6f2 crypto 103 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (343 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$2,018 (+43%) realized +$2,018 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +58% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +22% what you keep after slip
Net edge+22%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate46%47W / 56L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day343.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,155
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (343 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+43.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +58.3% +43.2% 46% 45% +32.0%
≤30d 103 +58.3% +43.2% 46% 45% +32.0%
≤90d 103 +58.3% +43.2% 46% 45% +32.0%
all 103 +58.3% +43.2% 46% 45% +32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover343.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +43.2% 45% +32.0%
10% ← realistic here +29.5% 41% +19.3%
15% +17.0% 36% +7.8%
20% +5.5% 32% -2.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +46% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +58% · $-wt +46% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +42% → late +75% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$91 vs −$38 · ×2.4 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.01 per $1 lost it wins $2.01
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,018
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses47 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)103 / 103
History coverage2d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day343.3
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 103 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $92 −$92 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $74 +$46 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$25 +319%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $130 −$130 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$51 +340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $72 +$233 +323%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $114 +$174 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $124 +$122 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $16 +$23 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $46 +$21 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $62 +$73 +118%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $13 +$61 +476%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$103 +453%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $83 +$25 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $65 +$93 +143%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $61 +$13 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$22 +282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $1 +$24 +2197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$150 +273%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $19 +$130 +688%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $84 +$296 +352%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $11 +$28 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $85 +$11 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $31 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $32 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $17 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $45 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $37 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $31 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $16 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $31 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $23 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 758 history records