Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:08:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ef1…add2
sports · 315 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$3,364 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,052 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$3,052
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses242 / 72
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$1,014
Open positions1
Markets (closed)314 / 315
History coverage108d
Avg bet$276
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$292
7 days+$296
14 days+$466
30 days+$592
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 81¢ 82¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Galions 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $41 +$12 +29%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $379 +$128 +34%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $560 +$18 +3%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,468 +$78 +2%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $393 +$8 +2%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $188 −$33 -18%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $258 −$1 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $419 +$54 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $251 +$29 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $708 −$16 -2%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 $0 +1%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $331 +$8 +2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $511 −$12 -2%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $297 +$3 +1%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $299 +$1 +0%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $101 −$20 -20%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $495 +$5 +1%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $96 +$4 +4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $396 +$4 +1%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $159 +$10 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $236 +$4 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $38 −$4 -10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$1 +9%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $198 +$16 +8%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $127 +$26 +21%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $267 +$63 +24%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $187 +$24 +13%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$13 +8%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $667 +$34 +5%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $256 +$20 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $346 +$4 +1%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $4 $0 +13%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $89 +$4 +4%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $723 −$11 -2%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $775 −$15 -2%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $105 −$3 -3%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $25 +$1 +5%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $21 −$15 -71%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $644 +$34 +5%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $29 −$9 -32%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $9 +$3 +28%
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 20 Jun 01 $8 +$2 +22%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner May 30 $272 +$4 +1%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $62 −$1 -1%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 Winner May 29 $93 +$11 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $162 +$96 +59%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 Winner May 28 $1,602 −$4 -0%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winner May 28 $21 +$2 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $237 +$18 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,106
other 0% −$54
politics 0% −$4
tech 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 79¢ $30 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 59¢ $23 1m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 64¢ $10 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 42¢ $7 10m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 40¢ $8 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 43¢ $2 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 43¢ $2 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 36¢ $11 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 60¢ $31 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 60¢ $31 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 62¢ $63 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 62¢ $63 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 35¢ $146 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 60¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $17 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 64¢ $49 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $16 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $48 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 63¢ $64 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 62¢ $63 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $233 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 99¢ $242 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 99¢ $94 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 80¢ $90 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 79¢ $118 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 80¢ $30 18h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 74¢ $224 18h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 99¢ $347 39h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 98¢ $343 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +3.2% -6.6% 75% 17% -7.1%
≤30d 62 +0.0% -9.5% 71% 26% -6.2%
≤90d 270 -1.0% -10.5% 74% 24% -6.5%
all 314 +2.2% -7.5% 77% 28% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 28% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 12% -15.1%
15% -24.5% 7% -23.3%
20% -31.9% 4% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.31 · official $10.31 (match) · 2390 history records