Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8efd…b023
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$147 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$147 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$147
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses10 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage8d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$147
14 days+$147
30 days+$147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$13 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$106 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$75 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$113 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $124 +$149 +120%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $175 +$24 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $14 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -12.8% -21.1% 48% 43% +5.5%
≤30d 21 -12.8% -21.1% 48% 43% +5.5%
≤90d 21 -12.8% -21.1% 48% 43% +5.5%
all 21 -12.8% -21.1% 48% 43% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.1% 43% +5.5%
10% -28.6% 38% -4.6%
15% -35.5% 38% -13.8%
20% -41.8% 33% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records