Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f0e…8793
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses20 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day114.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$4 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$8 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $10 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +6.5% -3.6% 54% 51% -12.4%
≤30d 37 +6.5% -3.6% 54% 51% -12.4%
≤90d 37 +6.5% -3.6% 54% 51% -12.4%
all 37 +6.5% -3.6% 54% 51% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 51% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 43% -20.8%
15% -21.3% 38% -28.4%
20% -29.0% 32% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 148 history records