Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:52:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f13…b4f9
crypto · 1435 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$217 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$215
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses844 / 590
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1434 / 1435
History coverage32d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$7
14 days−$10
30 days−$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$217
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 939 -1.1% -10.5% 65% 64% -9.3%
≤30d 1340 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 53% -13.6%
≤90d 1434 -5.2% -14.2% 59% 54% -13.0%
all 1434 -5.2% -14.2% 59% 54% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 54% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 46% -21.3%
15% -29.9% 36% -28.9%
20% -36.8% 24% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.28 (match) · 3500 history records