Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f14…ca5a
sports · 343 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$503 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,538 · open −$1,018
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,186
Realized+$1,538
Unrealized−$1,018
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses124 / 133
Est. fees paid−$166
Open positions190
Markets (closed)257 / 343
History coverage1d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day2903.7
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 190 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,538
7 days+$1,538
14 days+$1,538
30 days+$1,538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 100¢ $172 $339 +$167 (+97%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 57¢ 100¢ $119 $210 +$91 (+77%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 40¢ 100¢ $63 $155 +$93 (+148%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 49¢ 53¢ $134 $145 +$11 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 51¢ 47¢ $150 $137 −$13 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 69¢ $119 $119 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $125 $119 −$6 (-5%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 100¢ $50 $98 +$47 (+95%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $96 $97 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 58¢ 100¢ $55 $94 +$39 (+72%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $93 $92 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 66¢ $85 $83 −$2 (-2%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 48¢ 50¢ $75 $77 +$2 (+3%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 23¢ 34¢ $50 $71 +$21 (+43%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 56¢ $64 $69 +$5 (+7%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 31¢ 78¢ $25 $64 +$39 (+152%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 52¢ 100¢ $29 $56 +$27 (+92%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 79¢ 81¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-3%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 61¢ 100¢ $29 $48 +$19 (+64%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-1%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 74¢ 72¢ $48 $47 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $159 −$83 -52%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $10 −$3 -30%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $251 +$20 +8%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $8 −$3 -38%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $25 −$20 -80%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $309 −$74 -24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $149 −$38 -26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $11 +$12 +109%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $44 +$74 +167%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $312 −$104 -33%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $36 −$1 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $244 −$47 -20%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $11 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $16 +$4 +24%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$26 -40%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $9 +$14 +158%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $52 +$33 +64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$7 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $193 −$38 -20%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $200 +$94 +47%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $137 −$3 -2%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $60 −$26 -43%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $29 −$14 -48%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Oh Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $59 +$11 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $95 +$82 +86%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$453
other 19% +$69
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $1 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $1 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $1 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $1 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $1 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $1 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $5 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 62¢ $6 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 62¢ $5 3m
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY SPARTA 34¢ $1 4m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 9m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $9 12m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 71¢ $1 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $25 15m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 55¢ $3 17m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $3 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $2 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 63¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 63¢ $9 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $5 20m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 28¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 +19.5% +8.1% 48% 39% +4.1%
≤30d 257 +19.5% +8.1% 48% 39% +4.1%
≤90d 257 +19.5% +8.1% 48% 39% +4.1%
all 257 +19.5% +8.1% 48% 39% +4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2903.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.1% 39% +4.1%
10% ← realistic here -2.2% 32% -5.9%
15% -11.7% 27% -15.0%
20% -20.3% 22% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,186.33 · official $5,185.71 (match) · 3500 history records