Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f15…0d75
crypto · 180 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$229 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$76 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$76
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses85 / 93
Open positions3
Markets (closed)178 / 180
History coverage2d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day1989.2
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days+$76
14 days+$76
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 66¢ 88¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 46¢ 12¢ $23 $6 −$16 (-73%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 75¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 32¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $181 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $235 −$18 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$11 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$16 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$17 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $94 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$20 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$59
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 +2.6% -7.2% 48% 24% -9.0%
≤30d 178 +2.6% -7.2% 48% 24% -9.0%
≤90d 178 +2.6% -7.2% 48% 24% -9.0%
all 178 +2.6% -7.2% 48% 24% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1989.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 24% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 8% -17.7%
15% -24.1% 2% -25.7%
20% -31.6% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.12 · official $35.60 · 3500 history records